Weather and Climate Monitoring and Prediction Systems in the Context of Agriculture

  • Publication Year: 2022
  • ISBN: 9781774690307
  • Price: $165
  • Publisher: Delve Publishing
  • Binding Type: Hardcover

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Climate forecasts show the potential to improve agriculture's ability to withstand climate shocks, but it is still uncertain how farmers will use this data in crop management decisions plus whether doing so will profit them. This volume introduces the most commonly used forecasting strategies in agriculture, like probability forecasting, real-time forecasting and ultra-short distance forecasting. These determine the pattern of planting dates and crop varieties, the latter being more common where more extensive weather forecasting methods exist. Hybrid strategies usually use more input elements (such as crop varieties) to define the strategy (such as sowing period). Production estimates indicate that, in most cases, using forecasted values can increase production with relatively minimal loss. The impact depends on the nature of actual rainy season, the forecast accuracy and the kind of response. In wet years, with the consolidation of the policy and accurate forecast, the positive response will be higher. This proves that climate prediction can help farmers acclimatize to climate variability, particularly to help them take advantage of the expected favorable conditions. The realization of possible advantages is related to the context of greater variety selection and enhanced selection. Even so, modern advances in weather modeling have improved the ability to accurately forecast rainfall through dynamic forecasting and statistical techniques.

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Dr. Pralhad Jaybhaye (1972) is presently serving as Associate Professor, Department of Agricultural Meteorology, Vasantrao Naik Marathwada Krushi Vidyapeeth, Parhani, Maharashtra. He did his B. Sc.(Ag.) in 1995 and M. Sc. (Agril. Meteorology) 1998 from Mahatma Phule Krushi Vidyapeeth, Rahuri and Ph. D. (Agril. Meteorology & Physics) in 2020 from BCKV, Mohanpur, West Bengal. He started his career as a technical officer (Agrometeorology) in 2000 and as an Assistant professor in 2008. His field of specialization is Agrometeorology and his area of research interest are Micrometeorology, Agricultural Water Management, Climate Change and Extension Agrometeorology. In addition to this, he has performed additional duties as a Nodal officer, Commercial Fruit Nursery (2005-2008) and Principal Nodal officer, GKMS & FASAL project (2008-20016). He has conducted National workshops, farmer training programs, workshops and farmer's rallies. During his total 21 year's tenure of service, under his guidance 24 students completed M.Sc. (Agrometeorology) and he has co-guided for more than 25 students to the same degree. He has published one text book (Handbook of Agrometeorology) and other 6 books related to Agrometeorology; 25 research papers & 05 short communications in international and national reputed journals. He has participated and presented research papers at more than 25 International, National, State Seminar, Workshops and Symposiums. He has written 01 practical manuals for undergraduate courses to the benefit of students; besides these activities TV (15) & Radio talks (200), guest Lectures in scientist training & farmer training programs had delivered. Dr. Pralhad Jaybhaye has also written more than 400 popular articles in reputed regional language periodicals and daily newspapers.
He had donated a Gold Medal to M. Sc. (Agricultural Meteorology), VNMKV, Parbhani in the memory of his father (Late Freedom Fighter Mr. Rambhaji Temaji Jaybhaye) for enrichment capacity building as well as to raise academic interest in the Agriculture Meteorology area of the Students.